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Shein Shares Hit Record Low as Profit Falls 67%

 

Shein Shares Hit Record Low as Quarterly Profit Slumps 67%



Shein shares hit a record low on September 29 after the fast-fashion retailer reported a 67% year-on-year decline in adjusted second-quarter profit, its first earnings report since listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The results highlighted a difficult combination of higher freight and fuel costs, weaker sales in major Western markets and growing pressure on the company's low-cost business model.

Shein's shares fell more than 6% in Tuesday trading and were around HK$33.40, according to Reuters. From the company's September 1 IPO price of HK$48.56, the stock had already fallen 27.3% by Monday's close.

For investors, the bigger issue is not simply the share-price decline. Shein is facing a profitability problem at a time when its core advantage—selling very inexpensive fashion products with rapid global delivery—is becoming more expensive to maintain.

Shein's Quarterly Profit Fell 67%

Shein reported $228 million in adjusted net profit for the second quarter, down 67% from the same period a year earlier.

Its adjusted net profit margin fell sharply to 2.1% from 6.2%. In other words, Shein generated only about $2.10 of adjusted profit for every $100 of revenue during the quarter, compared with roughly $6.20 a year earlier.

Revenue was comparatively resilient. Shein reported $11.08 billion in second-quarter sales, up just 0.9% year over year. The sharp difference between relatively flat revenue and plunging profit shows how strongly higher costs affected the company's earnings.

Jefferies analysts estimated that the earnings result was more than 10% below the lower end of the range implied by Shein's prospectus.

That miss helps explain the severity of the market reaction.

Higher Oil and Freight Costs Are Hurting Shein

One of the biggest problems is Shein's dependence on air shipments.

The company operates a highly distributed e-commerce model in which products are shipped rapidly to customers around the world. When jet fuel and freight costs rise, that model becomes more expensive.

The Middle East conflict has contributed to higher fuel and transportation costs, putting additional pressure on Shein's margins. Its fulfillment costs rose 18.1%, according to Reuters, well above the expectations cited by Jefferies.

This is particularly important because the cost increase occurred before some of the new European charges affecting low-value e-commerce parcels had fully taken effect.

For a retailer built around low prices, even a relatively small increase in the cost of getting each order to a customer can have a disproportionate effect on profitability.

Europe Has Become a Major Problem

Shein's European business was one of the weakest parts of the quarterly results.

Revenue in Europe fell 13.9% to $3.77 billion in the second quarter. The company raised prices and reduced online advertising as it prepared for new European charges on low-value e-commerce parcels.

The European market is particularly important because Shein has built a large customer base there around inexpensive products and frequent purchases.

Higher prices can potentially reduce the appeal of that proposition, while lower advertising spending can make it harder to maintain customer acquisition and order growth.

The company therefore faces a delicate balancing act: it needs to protect margins without making its products significantly less attractive to price-sensitive shoppers.

U.S. Sales Also Declined

The United States presented another challenge.

Shein's U.S. revenue fell 6% to $2.5 billion in the second quarter. The company has already faced higher costs after the U.S. ended duty-free treatment for low-value e-commerce parcels, forcing changes to its pricing and shipping economics.

Europe and the United States are particularly significant because weakness in both regions means Shein cannot easily rely on growth in one major developed market to offset pressure in another.

Overall revenue still increased slightly because growth in Latin America helped offset declines in Europe and the U.S.

That geographic diversification is a positive feature of the business, but it has not yet been enough to prevent a substantial earnings decline.

New EU Fees Could Add More Pressure

Shein's cost challenge is also moving into the regulatory environment.

The European Union introduced a €3 fee on low-value e-commerce parcels from July 1, while another €2 handling fee is scheduled to be implemented from November 1, according to Reuters.

For Shein, the impact could be meaningful because its business model has historically relied heavily on inexpensive cross-border parcels.

The company has said the European fees could have a greater impact on its business than the end of the U.S. de minimis exemption.

That makes the next few quarters particularly important. Investors will want to see whether Shein can offset higher logistics and regulatory costs through pricing, local inventory, improved fulfillment efficiency or a change in product mix.

Shein Wants to Move Toward Higher-Priced Fashion

Shein's management is already signaling a change in strategy.

CEO and Chair Yangtian Xu said a key priority is increasing inventory in Europe and pushing into higher-priced clothing. The company also indicated that it wants to expand its collection of brands, including potentially through acquisitions.

The strategy is straightforward: higher-priced products can potentially produce better absolute margins and reduce Shein's dependence on ultra-low-cost merchandise.

But there is a trade-off.

Shein's rapid growth has been closely associated with affordable fashion, frequent product launches and aggressive pricing. Moving toward higher price points could improve economics, but it could also change the proposition that attracted many customers in the first place.

The company therefore needs to prove that it can increase average selling prices without causing a significant deterioration in customer demand.

Europe Inventory Could Improve Delivery Economics

Shein is also investing in European logistics.

The company has been expanding warehouse capacity in Poland, including a large logistics hub in Wroclaw. Reuters reported that Shein opened a facility with 740,000 square metres of warehouse space in December 2025 and leased another 66,000 square metres of space this year.

Increasing inventory closer to customers could eventually reduce reliance on long-distance air shipments.

That could help delivery times and potentially improve fulfillment economics.

However, building local inventory also carries risks. More stock held closer to consumers means more capital tied up in inventory and greater exposure to unsold fashion products if trends change quickly.

The success of this strategy will therefore depend on how efficiently Shein manages its inventory.

Why the Stock Reaction Matters

Shein's Hong Kong listing was already facing pressure before this earnings report.

The company debuted on September 1 at HK$48.56 per share, giving it a valuation of just over $26 billion. By September 29, the stock was trading around HK$33.40, according to Reuters.

The weak post-IPO performance means investors are reassessing the valuation at which Shein entered the public market.

A company can continue to grow its sales and still experience a falling share price if investors believe future profits will be lower than previously expected.

That appears to be the central concern around Shein: revenue has held up relatively well, but the amount of profit generated from each dollar of sales has fallen sharply.

What Investors Should Watch Next

The next few quarters will provide a clearer picture of whether the second-quarter decline was temporary or part of a deeper change in Shein's economics.

Key indicators include:

  • Profit margin: Whether adjusted margins recover from 2.1%.

  • Fulfillment costs: Whether the 18.1% increase moderates.

  • European revenue: Whether sales stabilize after price increases and lower advertising.

  • U.S. revenue: Whether Shein can adapt to higher import and parcel costs.

  • Average selling price: Whether higher-priced products improve profitability without hurting demand.

  • Inventory in Europe: Whether local stock reduces shipping costs and improves delivery efficiency.

  • Order growth: Whether customers continue buying at the same pace as prices rise.

  • New EU fees: The effect of the additional €2 handling charge from November.

  • Latin America and other markets: Whether faster-growing regions can continue offsetting weakness in Europe and the U.S.

Bottom Line

Shein shares hit a record low after the company's first post-IPO earnings report showed adjusted quarterly profit falling 67% to $228 million, while the adjusted margin dropped from 6.2% to 2.1%. Higher fuel and freight costs, weaker European and U.S. sales, and new e-commerce fees are putting pressure on the company's established business model.

The key question for investors is whether Shein can restore profitability without sacrificing the low-price proposition that helped drive its global expansion.

Management is responding with more European inventory, logistics investment and a push toward higher-priced brands. The next earnings reports should show whether those changes can translate into stronger margins and more durable growth.

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